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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 9 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Volkswagen Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfL Wolfsburg Win

39%

VfL Wolfsburg

2.59

24%

Draw

4.12

37%

1899 Hoffenheim

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

VfL Wolfsburg xG

Total xG

3.42

1.69

1899 Hoffenheim xG

39%
24%
37%
VfL WolfsburgDraw1899 Hoffenheim

2.59

39%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.47

32%

BTTS No

3.11

Clean Sheet

18%

VfL Wolfsburg

5.41

18%

1899 Hoffenheim

5.62

Win to Nil

7%

VfL Wolfsburg

14.01

7%

1899 Hoffenheim

15.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 5.5 4.7 2.6 1.1 0.4
1 5.7 9.6 8.1 4.6 1.9 0.6
2 4.9 8.3 7.0 3.9 1.7 0.6
3 2.8 4.8 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.3
4 1.2 2.1 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.727
λ Away (xG) 1.689
Total xG 3.416
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.446
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 0.872
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.099
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 1.063
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 1.283
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66