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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Wed 15 Jan 2025

17:30

Venue

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC St. Pauli Win

32%

VfL Bochum

3.08

29%

Draw

3.42

38%

FC St. Pauli

2.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

VfL Bochum xG

Total xG

2.30

1.21

FC St. Pauli xG

32%
29%
38%
VfL BochumDrawFC St. Pauli

3.08

32%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

2.61

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

30%

VfL Bochum

3.34

34%

FC St. Pauli

2.97

Win to Nil

10%

VfL Bochum

10.30

13%

FC St. Pauli

7.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 12.1 7.3 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 11.0 13.2 8.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.0 7.2 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.2 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.089
λ Away (xG) 1.207
Total xG 2.296
League avg home goals 1.769
League avg away goals 1.432
VfL Bochum attack strength 0.730
VfL Bochum defence strength 1.039
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.811
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.843
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 16