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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

14:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

54%

VfB Stuttgart

1.84

23%

Draw

4.35

23%

VfL Wolfsburg

4.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

3.11

1.18

VfL Wolfsburg xG

54%
23%
23%
VfB StuttgartDrawVfL Wolfsburg

1.84

54%

Home win

4.35

23%

Draw

4.43

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

31%

VfB Stuttgart

3.25

14%

VfL Wolfsburg

6.91

Win to Nil

17%

VfB Stuttgart

5.98

3%

VfL Wolfsburg

30.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.2 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 8.6 10.1 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.8 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 5.4 6.3 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 2.6 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.933
λ Away (xG) 1.180
Total xG 3.113
League avg home goals 1.700
League avg away goals 1.377
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 0.929
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.931
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 0.920
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.224
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57