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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Wed 15 Jan 2025

19:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

46%

VfB Stuttgart

2.18

22%

Draw

4.60

32%

RB Leipzig

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

7.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

3.63

1.65

RB Leipzig xG

46%
22%
32%
VfB StuttgartDrawRB Leipzig

2.18

46%

Home win

4.60

22%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.43

30%

BTTS No

3.30

Clean Sheet

19%

VfB Stuttgart

5.20

14%

RB Leipzig

7.26

Win to Nil

9%

VfB Stuttgart

11.33

4%

RB Leipzig

22.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 4.4 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.3
1 5.3 8.7 7.1 3.9 1.6 0.5
2 5.2 8.6 7.1 3.9 1.6 0.5
3 3.4 5.7 4.7 2.6 1.1 0.3
4 1.7 2.8 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.982
λ Away (xG) 1.648
Total xG 3.630
League avg home goals 1.768
League avg away goals 1.418
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.084
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 1.065
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.091
RB Leipzig defence strength 1.034
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50