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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

14:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

41%

VfB Stuttgart

2.45

24%

Draw

4.14

35%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

2.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

3.34

1.60

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

41%
24%
35%
VfB StuttgartDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach

2.45

41%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

2.86

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

2.99

Clean Sheet

20%

VfB Stuttgart

4.96

18%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

5.70

Win to Nil

8%

VfB Stuttgart

12.16

6%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

16.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 5.7 4.5 2.4 1.0 0.3
1 6.2 9.9 7.9 4.2 1.7 0.5
2 5.4 8.6 6.9 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 3.1 5.0 4.0 2.1 0.9 0.3
4 1.4 2.2 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.741
λ Away (xG) 1.602
Total xG 3.343
League avg home goals 1.503
League avg away goals 1.557
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.073
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.993
Borussia Mönchengladbach attack strength 1.036
Borussia Mönchengladbach defence strength 1.079
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35