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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 23 Jan 2027

14:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

36%

VfB Stuttgart

2.80

23%

Draw

4.34

41%

Bayern München

2.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

3.36

1.75

Bayern München xG

36%
23%
41%
VfB StuttgartDrawBayern München

2.80

36%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

2.42

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.96

Clean Sheet

17%

VfB Stuttgart

5.73

20%

Bayern München

5.01

Win to Nil

6%

VfB Stuttgart

16.06

8%

Bayern München

12.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 6.1 5.3 3.1 1.3 0.5
1 5.6 9.8 8.6 5.0 2.2 0.8
2 4.5 7.9 6.9 4.0 1.8 0.6
3 2.4 4.2 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.3
4 1.0 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.612
λ Away (xG) 1.746
Total xG 3.358
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.039
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.863
Bayern München attack strength 1.378
Bayern München defence strength 0.852
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34