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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

14:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

30%

VfB Stuttgart

3.35

24%

Draw

4.17

46%

Bayern München

2.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

0 – 1

7.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

3.21

1.80

Bayern München xG

30%
24%
46%
VfB StuttgartDrawBayern München

3.35

30%

Home win

4.17

24%

Draw

2.17

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.75

Clean Sheet

17%

VfB Stuttgart

6.03

24%

Bayern München

4.10

Win to Nil

5%

VfB Stuttgart

20.19

11%

Bayern München

8.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 7.3 6.5 3.9 1.8 0.6
1 5.7 10.3 9.2 5.5 2.5 0.9
2 4.0 7.2 6.5 3.9 1.7 0.6
3 1.9 3.4 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.411
λ Away (xG) 1.796
Total xG 3.207
League avg home goals 1.642
League avg away goals 1.445
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.044
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.864
Bayern München attack strength 1.438
Bayern München defence strength 0.823
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46