Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

37%

Union Berlin

2.71

24%

Draw

4.13

39%

RB Leipzig

2.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

3.01

1.53

RB Leipzig xG

37%
24%
39%
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig

2.71

37%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

2.57

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.54

Clean Sheet

22%

Union Berlin

4.61

23%

RB Leipzig

4.41

Win to Nil

8%

Union Berlin

12.50

9%

RB Leipzig

11.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 7.5 5.7 2.9 1.1 0.3
1 7.3 11.1 8.5 4.3 1.7 0.5
2 5.4 8.3 6.3 3.2 1.2 0.4
3 2.7 4.1 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.485
λ Away (xG) 1.529
Total xG 3.014
League avg home goals 1.786
League avg away goals 1.435
Union Berlin attack strength 0.746
Union Berlin defence strength 0.948
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.124
RB Leipzig defence strength 1.115
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53