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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 12 Sep 2026

14:30

Venue

Waldstadion Kaiserlinde

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

20%

SV Elversberg

4.88

20%

Draw

5.13

60%

Bayern München

1.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.0%

Draw

1 – 3

7.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

SV Elversberg xG

Total xG

3.65

2.33

Bayern München xG

20%
20%
60%
SV ElversbergDrawBayern München

4.88

20%

Home win

5.13

20%

Draw

1.67

60%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.96

Clean Sheet

10%

SV Elversberg

10.33

27%

Bayern München

3.73

Win to Nil

2%

SV Elversberg

50.44

16%

Bayern München

6.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 6.1 7.1 5.5 3.2 1.5
1 3.4 8.0 9.3 7.3 4.2 2.0
2 2.2 5.3 6.1 4.8 2.8 1.3
3 1.0 2.3 2.7 2.1 1.2 0.6
4 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.316
λ Away (xG) 2.335
Total xG 3.651
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
SV Elversberg attack strength 0.850
SV Elversberg defence strength 1.150
Bayern München attack strength 1.383
Bayern München defence strength 0.850
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 34