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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 10 Jan 2026

14:30

Venue

Europa-Park-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

72%

SC Freiburg

1.39

19%

Draw

5.37

9%

Hamburger SV

10.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

3 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.41

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

3.20

0.79

Hamburger SV xG

72%
19%
SC FreiburgDrawHamburger SV

1.39

72%

Home win

5.37

19%

Draw

10.75

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

45%

SC Freiburg

2.20

9%

Hamburger SV

11.09

Win to Nil

33%

SC Freiburg

3.06

1%

Hamburger SV

119.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 3.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 9.8 7.8 3.1 0.8 0.2
2 11.8 9.4 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 9.5 7.5 3.0 0.8 0.2
4 5.7 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
5 2.7 2.2 0.9 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.406
λ Away (xG) 0.790
Total xG 3.196
League avg home goals 1.632
League avg away goals 1.439
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.135
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.894
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.614
Hamburger SV defence strength 1.299
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 15