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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
SC Freiburg Win
49%
2.04
25%
4.07
26%
3.80
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.6%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
1 – 0
8.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.80
SC Freiburg xG
Total xG
3.07
1.27
FSV Mainz 05 xG
SC FreiburgDrawFSV Mainz 05
2.04
49%
Home win
4.07
25%
Draw
3.80
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.64
39%
BTTS No
2.55
Clean Sheet
28%
3.56
16%
6.06
Win to Nil
14%
7.25
4%
23.06
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 10.6 | 6.7 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 9.6 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.802
λ Away (xG)
1.271
Total xG
3.073
League avg home goals
1.631
League avg away goals
1.469
SC Freiburg attack strength
1.033
SC Freiburg defence strength
0.993
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength
0.871
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength
1.070
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
45 / 45