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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 12 Sep 2026

14:30

Venue

Europa-Park Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

55%

SC Freiburg

1.82

22%

Draw

4.50

23%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

4.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

3.15

1.19

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

55%
22%
23%
SC FreiburgDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach

1.82

55%

Home win

4.50

22%

Draw

4.37

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

30%

SC Freiburg

3.30

14%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

7.06

Win to Nil

17%

SC Freiburg

6.01

3%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

30.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 5.1 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 8.4 10.0 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.8 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 5.3 6.4 3.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.6 3.1 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.954
λ Away (xG) 1.194
Total xG 3.148
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.052
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.949
Borussia Mönchengladbach attack strength 0.857
Borussia Mönchengladbach defence strength 1.019
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34