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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

16:30

Venue

Europa-Park Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

28%

SC Freiburg

3.60

24%

Draw

4.20

48%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

7.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

3.30

1.90

Bayer Leverkusen xG

28%
24%
48%
SC FreiburgDrawBayer Leverkusen

3.60

28%

Home win

4.20

24%

Draw

2.07

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.84

Clean Sheet

15%

SC Freiburg

6.65

25%

Bayer Leverkusen

4.06

Win to Nil

4%

SC Freiburg

23.96

12%

Bayer Leverkusen

8.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 7.0 6.6 4.2 2.0 0.8
1 5.2 9.8 9.3 5.9 2.8 1.1
2 3.6 6.9 6.5 4.1 2.0 0.7
3 1.7 3.2 3.0 1.9 0.9 0.3
4 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.401
λ Away (xG) 1.895
Total xG 3.296
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.445
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.089
SC Freiburg defence strength 1.065
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.231
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.834
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65