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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

14:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

37%

RB Leipzig

2.69

26%

Draw

3.85

37%

Werder Bremen

2.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.11

1.55

Werder Bremen xG

37%
26%
37%
RB LeipzigDrawWerder Bremen

2.69

37%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

2.71

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

21%

RB Leipzig

4.72

21%

Werder Bremen

4.75

Win to Nil

8%

RB Leipzig

12.69

8%

Werder Bremen

12.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 6.9 5.4 2.8 1.1 0.3
1 7.0 10.8 8.4 4.3 1.7 0.5
2 5.4 8.4 6.5 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 2.8 4.4 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.558
λ Away (xG) 1.551
Total xG 3.109
League avg home goals 1.688
League avg away goals 1.458
RB Leipzig attack strength 0.973
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.966
Werder Bremen attack strength 1.101
Werder Bremen defence strength 0.948
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49