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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 24 Apr 2026

19:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

66%

RB Leipzig

1.52

19%

Draw

5.16

15%

Union Berlin

6.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.16

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.08

0.92

Union Berlin xG

66%
19%
15%
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin

1.52

66%

Home win

5.16

19%

Draw

6.73

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

40%

RB Leipzig

2.51

12%

Union Berlin

8.69

Win to Nil

26%

RB Leipzig

3.82

2%

Union Berlin

58.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 9.9 9.1 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 10.7 9.9 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 7.7 7.1 3.3 1.0 0.2
4 4.2 3.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
5 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.162
λ Away (xG) 0.920
Total xG 3.082
League avg home goals 1.696
League avg away goals 1.463
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.197
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.871
Union Berlin attack strength 0.722
Union Berlin defence strength 1.065
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64