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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

14:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

67%

RB Leipzig

1.50

21%

Draw

4.71

12%

Hamburger SV

8.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.5%

Home win

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

2.64

0.70

Hamburger SV xG

67%
21%
12%
RB LeipzigDrawHamburger SV

1.50

67%

Home win

4.71

21%

Draw

8.25

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

50%

RB Leipzig

2.01

14%

Hamburger SV

7.01

Win to Nil

33%

RB Leipzig

3.01

2%

Hamburger SV

57.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.9 9.6 3.4 0.8 0.1
2 13.5 9.4 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 8.8 6.1 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 4.3 3.0 1.0 0.2
5 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.947
λ Away (xG) 0.696
Total xG 2.643
League avg home goals 1.622
League avg away goals 1.503
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.186
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.889
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.521
Hamburger SV defence strength 1.012
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 6