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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 9 Feb 2025

16:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

47%

RB Leipzig

2.11

27%

Draw

3.77

26%

FC St. Pauli

3.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

2.75

1.14

FC St. Pauli xG

47%
27%
26%
RB LeipzigDrawFC St. Pauli

2.11

47%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

3.83

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

32%

RB Leipzig

3.13

20%

FC St. Pauli

5.00

Win to Nil

15%

RB Leipzig

6.60

5%

FC St. Pauli

19.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 7.3 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 10.3 11.7 6.7 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.4 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.4 5.1 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.8 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.609
λ Away (xG) 1.140
Total xG 2.749
League avg home goals 1.693
League avg away goals 1.392
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.165
RB Leipzig defence strength 1.051
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.779
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.816
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 20