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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

14:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

39%

RB Leipzig

2.55

25%

Draw

3.97

36%

1. FC Heidenheim

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.13

1.52

1. FC Heidenheim xG

39%
25%
36%
RB LeipzigDraw1. FC Heidenheim

2.55

39%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.73

Clean Sheet

22%

RB Leipzig

4.60

20%

1. FC Heidenheim

4.99

Win to Nil

9%

RB Leipzig

11.73

7%

1. FC Heidenheim

14.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 6.7 5.1 2.6 1.0 0.3
1 7.0 10.7 8.2 4.1 1.6 0.5
2 5.6 8.6 6.6 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 3.0 4.6 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.607
λ Away (xG) 1.525
Total xG 3.132
League avg home goals 1.503
League avg away goals 1.557
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.109
RB Leipzig defence strength 1.011
1. FC Heidenheim attack strength 0.968
1. FC Heidenheim defence strength 0.964
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35