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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 29 Aug 2026

14:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

58%

RB Leipzig

1.73

21%

Draw

4.70

21%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

4.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

2 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.06

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.23

1.17

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

58%
21%
21%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach

1.73

58%

Home win

4.70

21%

Draw

4.79

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

31%

RB Leipzig

3.22

13%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

7.88

Win to Nil

18%

RB Leipzig

5.56

3%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

37.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 4.6 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 8.1 9.5 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 5.8 6.8 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.0 3.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.064
λ Away (xG) 1.168
Total xG 3.232
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.112
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.929
Borussia Mönchengladbach attack strength 0.857
Borussia Mönchengladbach defence strength 1.019
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34