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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

14:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

65%

RB Leipzig

1.55

18%

Draw

5.45

17%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

5.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.7%

Home win

2 – 0

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.50

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.75

1.25

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

65%
18%
17%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach

1.55

65%

Home win

5.45

18%

Draw

5.83

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.92

Clean Sheet

29%

RB Leipzig

3.48

8%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

12.23

Win to Nil

19%

RB Leipzig

5.40

1%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

71.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3 2.9 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
1 5.9 7.3 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.1
2 7.4 9.2 5.7 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 6.1 7.7 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 3.8 4.8 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.9 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.504
λ Away (xG) 1.248
Total xG 3.752
League avg home goals 1.710
League avg away goals 1.458
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.266
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.948
Borussia Mönchengladbach attack strength 0.903
Borussia Mönchengladbach defence strength 1.157
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62