Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

28%

RB Leipzig

3.62

26%

Draw

3.87

47%

Bayern München

2.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.24

1.84

Bayern München xG

28%
26%
47%
RB LeipzigDrawBayern München

3.62

28%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

2.15

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.84

Clean Sheet

16%

RB Leipzig

6.31

25%

Bayern München

4.03

Win to Nil

4%

RB Leipzig

22.82

12%

Bayern München

8.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 7.2 6.7 4.1 1.9 0.7
1 5.5 10.1 9.3 5.7 2.6 1.0
2 3.8 7.0 6.5 4.0 1.8 0.7
3 1.8 3.3 3.0 1.8 0.9 0.3
4 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.394
λ Away (xG) 1.842
Total xG 3.236
League avg home goals 1.755
League avg away goals 1.416
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.218
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.763
Bayern München attack strength 1.706
Bayern München defence strength 0.652
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 51