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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

14:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

25%

RB Leipzig

4.01

25%

Draw

4.04

50%

Bayern München

1.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

0 – 1

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.10

1.85

Bayern München xG

25%
25%
50%
RB LeipzigDrawBayern München

4.01

25%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

1.99

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

16%

RB Leipzig

6.34

29%

Bayern München

3.50

Win to Nil

4%

RB Leipzig

25.45

14%

Bayern München

6.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 8.3 7.7 4.7 2.2 0.8
1 5.6 10.4 9.6 5.9 2.7 1.0
2 3.5 6.5 6.0 3.7 1.7 0.6
3 1.5 2.7 2.5 1.5 0.7 0.3
4 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.252
λ Away (xG) 1.847
Total xG 3.099
League avg home goals 1.498
League avg away goals 1.406
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.132
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.926
Bayern München attack strength 1.419
Bayern München defence strength 0.739
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65