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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

17:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

71%

RB Leipzig

1.42

18%

Draw

5.66

12%

Bayer Leverkusen

8.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.7%

Home win

3 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.65

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.69

1.04

Bayer Leverkusen xG

71%
18%
12%
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen

1.42

71%

Home win

5.66

18%

Draw

8.56

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

35%

RB Leipzig

2.84

7%

Bayer Leverkusen

14.11

Win to Nil

25%

RB Leipzig

4.02

1%

Bayer Leverkusen

120.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.6 6.9 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
2 8.7 9.1 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 7.7 8.1 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 5.1 5.3 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 2.7 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.647
λ Away (xG) 1.043
Total xG 3.690
League avg home goals 1.652
League avg away goals 1.398
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.401
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.690
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.080
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 1.144
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48