Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

14:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

32%

RB Leipzig

3.12

22%

Draw

4.51

46%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

2 – 1

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.50

1.92

Bayer Leverkusen xG

32%
22%
46%
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen

3.12

32%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

2.18

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.47

32%

BTTS No

3.12

Clean Sheet

15%

RB Leipzig

6.83

21%

Bayer Leverkusen

4.86

Win to Nil

5%

RB Leipzig

21.33

9%

Bayer Leverkusen

10.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 5.8 5.6 3.6 1.7 0.7
1 4.8 9.1 8.8 5.6 2.7 1.0
2 3.8 7.2 7.0 4.5 2.1 0.8
3 2.0 3.8 3.7 2.3 1.1 0.4
4 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.582
λ Away (xG) 1.921
Total xG 3.503
League avg home goals 1.778
League avg away goals 1.452
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.095
RB Leipzig defence strength 1.000
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.322
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.813
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52