Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 20 Mar 2026

19:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

40%

RB Leipzig

2.53

22%

Draw

4.56

39%

1899 Hoffenheim

2.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

7.8%

Home win

1 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.78

1.88

1899 Hoffenheim xG

40%
22%
39%
RB LeipzigDraw1899 Hoffenheim

2.53

40%

Home win

4.56

22%

Draw

2.59

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.38

28%

BTTS No

3.62

Clean Sheet

15%

RB Leipzig

6.54

15%

1899 Hoffenheim

6.70

Win to Nil

6%

RB Leipzig

16.55

6%

1899 Hoffenheim

17.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3 4.3 4.0 2.5 1.2 0.4
1 4.3 8.2 7.7 4.8 2.2 0.8
2 4.1 7.8 7.3 4.6 2.1 0.8
3 2.6 4.9 4.6 2.9 1.4 0.5
4 1.2 2.3 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.902
λ Away (xG) 1.878
Total xG 3.780
League avg home goals 1.640
League avg away goals 1.361
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.145
RB Leipzig defence strength 1.105
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 1.249
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 1.012
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60