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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

14:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

52%

RB Leipzig

1.92

24%

Draw

4.16

24%

1899 Hoffenheim

4.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

2.84

1.10

1899 Hoffenheim xG

52%
24%
24%
RB LeipzigDraw1899 Hoffenheim

1.92

52%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

4.18

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

33%

RB Leipzig

3.01

18%

1899 Hoffenheim

5.67

Win to Nil

17%

RB Leipzig

5.78

4%

1899 Hoffenheim

23.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 6.5 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 10.2 11.2 6.2 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.7 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 5.1 5.6 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.736
λ Away (xG) 1.102
Total xG 2.838
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.422
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.144
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.930
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 0.833
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 0.994
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61