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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 17 Apr 2027

14:30

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

58%

RB Leipzig

1.72

20%

Draw

4.91

21%

1. FC Köln

4.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

2 – 0

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.19

RB Leipzig xG

Total xG

3.46

1.27

1. FC Köln xG

58%
20%
21%
RB LeipzigDraw1. FC Köln

1.72

58%

Home win

4.91

20%

Draw

4.66

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.78

Clean Sheet

28%

RB Leipzig

3.57

11%

1. FC Köln

8.94

Win to Nil

16%

RB Leipzig

6.14

2%

1. FC Köln

41.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 4.0 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 6.9 8.7 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
2 7.5 9.6 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 5.5 7.0 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 3.0 3.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.191
λ Away (xG) 1.273
Total xG 3.464
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.107
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.932
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.931
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.087
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34