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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

14:30

Venue

Holstein-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Werder Bremen Win

33%

Holstein Kiel

3.04

23%

Draw

4.41

44%

Werder Bremen

2.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.3%

Draw

2 – 2

7.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Holstein Kiel xG

Total xG

3.72

2.01

Werder Bremen xG

33%
23%
44%
Holstein KielDrawWerder Bremen

3.04

33%

Home win

4.41

23%

Draw

2.25

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.40

28%

BTTS No

3.52

Clean Sheet

13%

Holstein Kiel

7.43

18%

Werder Bremen

5.56

Win to Nil

4%

Holstein Kiel

22.61

8%

Werder Bremen

12.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 4.9 4.9 3.3 1.6 0.7
1 4.2 8.3 8.4 5.6 2.8 1.1
2 3.6 7.1 7.2 4.8 2.4 1.0
3 2.0 4.1 4.1 2.7 1.4 0.6
4 0.9 1.8 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.715
λ Away (xG) 2.006
Total xG 3.721
League avg home goals 1.560
League avg away goals 1.414
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.959
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.372
Werder Bremen attack strength 1.034
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.146
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 60