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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

14:30

Venue

Holstein-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC St. Pauli Win

33%

Holstein Kiel

3.04

26%

Draw

3.91

42%

FC St. Pauli

2.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Holstein Kiel xG

Total xG

2.83

1.51

FC St. Pauli xG

33%
26%
42%
Holstein KielDrawFC St. Pauli

3.04

33%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

2.41

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

22%

Holstein Kiel

4.52

27%

FC St. Pauli

3.73

Win to Nil

7%

Holstein Kiel

13.76

11%

FC St. Pauli

8.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 8.9 6.7 3.4 1.3 0.4
1 7.8 11.8 8.9 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 5.1 7.8 5.9 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 2.3 3.4 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.317
λ Away (xG) 1.509
Total xG 2.826
League avg home goals 1.511
League avg away goals 1.440
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.868
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.408
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.745
FC St. Pauli defence strength 1.004
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 28