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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Tue 14 Jan 2025

17:30

Venue

Holstein-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

28%

Holstein Kiel

3.53

24%

Draw

4.22

48%

Borussia Dortmund

2.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

2 – 1

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Holstein Kiel xG

Total xG

3.34

1.91

Borussia Dortmund xG

28%
24%
48%
Holstein KielDrawBorussia Dortmund

3.53

28%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

2.08

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.91

Clean Sheet

15%

Holstein Kiel

6.74

24%

Borussia Dortmund

4.20

Win to Nil

4%

Holstein Kiel

23.81

11%

Borussia Dortmund

8.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 6.7 6.4 4.1 2.0 0.7
1 5.1 9.7 9.2 5.9 2.8 1.1
2 3.6 6.9 6.6 4.2 2.0 0.8
3 1.7 3.3 3.2 2.0 1.0 0.4
4 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.434
λ Away (xG) 1.908
Total xG 3.342
League avg home goals 1.701
League avg away goals 1.459
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.799
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.319
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 0.991
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 1.055
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 50