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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

14:30

Venue

Holstein-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

18%

Holstein Kiel

5.53

21%

Draw

4.83

61%

Bayer Leverkusen

1.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.9%

Draw

0 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Holstein Kiel xG

Total xG

3.62

2.37

Bayer Leverkusen xG

18%
21%
61%
Holstein KielDrawBayer Leverkusen

5.53

18%

Home win

4.83

21%

Draw

1.63

61%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.91

Clean Sheet

9%

Holstein Kiel

10.65

29%

Bayer Leverkusen

3.50

Win to Nil

2%

Holstein Kiel

58.90

18%

Bayer Leverkusen

5.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 6.3 7.5 5.9 3.5 1.7
1 3.4 7.9 9.4 7.4 4.4 2.1
2 2.1 5.0 5.9 4.6 2.7 1.3
3 0.9 2.1 2.5 1.9 1.1 0.5
4 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.252
λ Away (xG) 2.366
Total xG 3.618
League avg home goals 1.664
League avg away goals 1.351
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.958
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.495
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.171
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.785
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 56