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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

14:30

Venue

Holstein-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Holstein Kiel Win

49%

Holstein Kiel

2.04

23%

Draw

4.30

28%

1899 Hoffenheim

3.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Holstein Kiel xG

Total xG

3.10

1.30

1899 Hoffenheim xG

49%
23%
28%
Holstein KielDraw1899 Hoffenheim

2.04

49%

Home win

4.30

23%

Draw

3.61

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.56

Clean Sheet

27%

Holstein Kiel

3.68

16%

1899 Hoffenheim

6.06

Win to Nil

13%

Holstein Kiel

7.50

5%

1899 Hoffenheim

21.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 5.8 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.1 10.5 6.9 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 7.3 9.5 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.4 5.7 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.0 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.802
λ Away (xG) 1.303
Total xG 3.105
League avg home goals 1.780
League avg away goals 1.415
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.980
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.349
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 0.683
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 1.033
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 51