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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

14:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Heidenheim Win

28%

Hamburger SV

3.60

25%

Draw

3.97

47%

1. FC Heidenheim

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

2.71

1.57

1. FC Heidenheim xG

28%
25%
47%
Hamburger SVDraw1. FC Heidenheim

3.60

28%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

21%

Hamburger SV

4.80

32%

1. FC Heidenheim

3.14

Win to Nil

6%

Hamburger SV

17.29

15%

1. FC Heidenheim

6.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 10.4 8.2 4.3 1.7 0.5
1 7.6 11.9 9.3 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 4.3 6.8 5.3 2.8 1.1 0.3
3 1.7 2.6 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.145
λ Away (xG) 1.568
Total xG 2.713
League avg home goals 1.726
League avg away goals 1.556
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.689
Hamburger SV defence strength 1.215
1. FC Heidenheim attack strength 0.830
1. FC Heidenheim defence strength 0.963
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 37