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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 28 Nov 2026

14:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

27%

Hamburger SV

3.73

22%

Draw

4.60

51%

Bayern München

1.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

2 – 2

6.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

3.45

2.03

Bayern München xG

27%
22%
51%
Hamburger SVDrawBayern München

3.73

27%

Home win

4.60

22%

Draw

1.94

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.95

Clean Sheet

13%

Hamburger SV

7.60

24%

Bayern München

4.15

Win to Nil

4%

Hamburger SV

28.36

12%

Bayern München

8.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 6.4 6.5 4.4 2.2 0.9
1 4.5 9.2 9.3 6.3 3.2 1.3
2 3.2 6.5 6.6 4.5 2.3 0.9
3 1.5 3.1 3.1 2.1 1.1 0.4
4 0.5 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.423
λ Away (xG) 2.028
Total xG 3.451
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.918
Hamburger SV defence strength 1.001
Bayern München attack strength 1.381
Bayern München defence strength 0.851
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34