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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 19 Sep 2026

14:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Hamburger SV Win

48%

Hamburger SV

2.07

23%

Draw

4.32

29%

1. FC Köln

3.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

3.18

1.36

1. FC Köln xG

48%
23%
29%
Hamburger SVDraw1. FC Köln

2.07

48%

Home win

4.32

23%

Draw

3.49

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

26%

Hamburger SV

3.90

16%

1. FC Köln

6.18

Win to Nil

12%

Hamburger SV

8.10

5%

1. FC Köln

21.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 5.6 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 7.5 10.3 7.0 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.4 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.2 5.7 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.822
λ Away (xG) 1.362
Total xG 3.184
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.917
Hamburger SV defence strength 1.001
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.927
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.090
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34