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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

14:30

Venue

MEWA ARENA

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

40%

FSV Mainz 05

2.50

29%

Draw

3.42

31%

VfL Wolfsburg

3.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

2.34

1.08

VfL Wolfsburg xG

40%
29%
31%
FSV Mainz 05DrawVfL Wolfsburg

2.50

40%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

3.24

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

34%

FSV Mainz 05

2.94

28%

VfL Wolfsburg

3.54

Win to Nil

14%

FSV Mainz 05

7.35

9%

VfL Wolfsburg

11.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 10.4 5.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.2 13.1 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.7 8.3 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.2 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.264
λ Away (xG) 1.077
Total xG 2.341
League avg home goals 1.487
League avg away goals 1.425
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.952
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.762
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 0.992
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 0.893
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63