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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

14:30

Venue

MEWA ARENA

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

60%

FSV Mainz 05

1.66

24%

Draw

4.10

15%

VfL Bochum

6.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.05

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

3.03

0.98

VfL Bochum xG

60%
24%
15%
FSV Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum

1.66

60%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

6.54

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

38%

FSV Mainz 05

2.66

13%

VfL Bochum

7.78

Win to Nil

23%

FSV Mainz 05

4.40

2%

VfL Bochum

50.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 4.7 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 9.9 9.7 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.9 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 7.0 6.8 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.6 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.052
λ Away (xG) 0.977
Total xG 3.029
League avg home goals 1.725
League avg away goals 1.506
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.940
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.849
VfL Bochum attack strength 0.765
VfL Bochum defence strength 1.266
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49