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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

14:30

Venue

MEWA ARENA

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

40%

FSV Mainz 05

2.49

27%

Draw

3.70

33%

VfB Stuttgart

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

2.52

1.18

VfB Stuttgart xG

40%
27%
33%
FSV Mainz 05DrawVfB Stuttgart

2.49

40%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

31%

FSV Mainz 05

3.26

26%

VfB Stuttgart

3.82

Win to Nil

12%

FSV Mainz 05

8.10

9%

VfB Stuttgart

11.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 9.5 5.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 10.8 12.7 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.2 8.5 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.2 3.8 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.339
λ Away (xG) 1.181
Total xG 2.520
League avg home goals 1.778
League avg away goals 1.452
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.894
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.797
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.020
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.842
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52