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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
FSV Mainz 05 Win
53%
1.88
25%
4.06
22%
4.52
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.3%
Home win
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.78
FSV Mainz 05 xG
Total xG
2.85
1.07
RB Leipzig xG
FSV Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
1.88
53%
Home win
4.06
25%
Draw
4.52
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.81
45%
BTTS No
2.24
Clean Sheet
34%
2.92
17%
5.92
Win to Nil
18%
5.48
4%
26.78
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.3 | 11.0 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.1 | 9.8 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.4 | 5.8 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.778
λ Away (xG)
1.072
Total xG
2.850
League avg home goals
1.669
League avg away goals
1.495
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength
0.825
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength
0.917
RB Leipzig attack strength
0.782
RB Leipzig defence strength
1.293
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
36 / 36