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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Fri 5 Dec 2025

19:30

Venue

Mewa Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Mönchengladbach Win

23%

FSV Mainz 05

4.29

25%

Draw

4.03

52%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

2.91

1.78

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

23%
25%
52%
FSV Mainz 05DrawBorussia Mönchengladbach

4.29

23%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

1.93

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

17%

FSV Mainz 05

5.95

32%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

3.10

Win to Nil

4%

FSV Mainz 05

25.53

17%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

5.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 9.7 8.6 5.1 2.3 0.8
1 6.1 10.9 9.8 5.8 2.6 0.9
2 3.5 6.2 5.5 3.3 1.5 0.5
3 1.3 2.3 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.2
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.131
λ Away (xG) 1.783
Total xG 2.914
League avg home goals 1.656
League avg away goals 1.454
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.806
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 1.017
Borussia Mönchengladbach attack strength 1.206
Borussia Mönchengladbach defence strength 0.847
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46