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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 7 Nov 2026

14:30

Venue

Mewa Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

25%

FSV Mainz 05

3.99

21%

Draw

4.77

54%

Bayern München

1.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

1 – 3

6.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

3.57

2.15

Bayern München xG

25%
21%
54%
FSV Mainz 05DrawBayern München

3.99

25%

Home win

4.77

21%

Draw

1.85

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.05

Clean Sheet

12%

FSV Mainz 05

8.56

24%

Bayern München

4.15

Win to Nil

3%

FSV Mainz 05

34.15

13%

Bayern München

7.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 6.0 6.5 4.6 2.5 1.1
1 4.0 8.6 9.2 6.6 3.5 1.5
2 2.9 6.1 6.6 4.7 2.5 1.1
3 1.4 2.9 3.1 2.2 1.2 0.5
4 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.423
λ Away (xG) 2.147
Total xG 3.570
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.918
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 1.060
Bayern München attack strength 1.381
Bayern München defence strength 0.851
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34