🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
FSV Mainz 05 Win
46%
2.15
23%
4.34
30%
3.28
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.0%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.1%
Home win
1 – 2
7.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.82
FSV Mainz 05 xG
Total xG
3.27
1.44
1. FC Köln xG
FSV Mainz 05Draw1. FC Köln
2.15
46%
Home win
4.34
23%
Draw
3.28
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
41%
Over 3.5
2.44
59%
Under 3.5
1.69
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
64%
BTTS Yes
1.56
36%
BTTS No
2.79
Clean Sheet
24%
4.23
16%
6.19
Win to Nil
11%
9.11
5%
20.31
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.3 | 9.1 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.9 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.823
λ Away (xG)
1.443
Total xG
3.266
League avg home goals
1.822
League avg away goals
1.468
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength
0.918
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength
1.059
1. FC Köln attack strength
0.928
1. FC Köln defence strength
1.089
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
34 / 34