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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Tue 27 Jan 2026

19:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

20%

FC St. Pauli

5.09

28%

Draw

3.59

52%

RB Leipzig

1.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

0 – 2

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

2.64

1.68

RB Leipzig xG

20%
28%
52%
FC St. PauliDrawRB Leipzig

5.09

20%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

1.90

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

19%

FC St. Pauli

5.37

38%

RB Leipzig

2.61

Win to Nil

4%

FC St. Pauli

27.36

20%

RB Leipzig

4.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 12.0 10.1 5.6 2.4 0.8
1 6.8 11.5 9.7 5.4 2.3 0.8
2 3.3 5.5 4.6 2.6 1.1 0.4
3 1.0 1.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.959
λ Away (xG) 1.681
Total xG 2.640
League avg home goals 1.663
League avg away goals 1.480
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.677
FC St. Pauli defence strength 1.089
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.043
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.853
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52