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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

17:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

15%

FC St. Pauli

6.46

20%

Draw

5.11

65%

Bayern München

1.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

10.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

3.10

2.16

Bayern München xG

15%
20%
65%
FC St. PauliDrawBayern München

6.46

15%

Home win

5.11

20%

Draw

1.54

65%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

12%

FC St. Pauli

8.64

39%

Bayern München

2.58

Win to Nil

2%

FC St. Pauli

55.79

25%

Bayern München

3.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 9.7 10.4 7.5 4.0 1.7
1 4.3 9.2 9.9 7.1 3.8 1.7
2 2.0 4.4 4.7 3.4 1.8 0.8
3 0.6 1.4 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.2
4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.949
λ Away (xG) 2.156
Total xG 3.105
League avg home goals 1.687
League avg away goals 1.441
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.724
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.911
Bayern München attack strength 1.643
Bayern München defence strength 0.776
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62