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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 14 Mar 2025

19:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1899 Hoffenheim Win

24%

FC St. Pauli

4.22

32%

Draw

3.17

45%

1899 Hoffenheim

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.87

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

2.17

1.29

1899 Hoffenheim xG

24%
32%
45%
FC St. PauliDraw1899 Hoffenheim

4.22

24%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

27%

FC St. Pauli

3.64

42%

1899 Hoffenheim

2.40

Win to Nil

7%

FC St. Pauli

15.35

19%

1899 Hoffenheim

5.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 14.8 9.6 4.1 1.3 0.3
1 10.0 12.9 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 4.4 5.7 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.3 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.874
λ Away (xG) 1.292
Total xG 2.166
League avg home goals 1.518
League avg away goals 1.399
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.577
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.987
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 0.935
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 0.998
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 59