🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Dominant Borussia Mönchengladbach run riot with a 0-3 hammering of 1. FC Heidenheim.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Borussia Mönchengladbach beat 1. FC Heidenheim 0-3 at Voith-Arena, Regular Season - 11, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting 1. FC Heidenheim 1.26 xG and Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.73 xG, a combined 2.99. The scoreboard read 0-3 for 3 actual goals. 1. FC Heidenheim fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Borussia Mönchengladbach outscored their 1.73 projection by 1.3. Those figures were built on strength ratings of 1. FC Heidenheim attack 0.83 / defence 1.06 against Borussia Mönchengladbach attack 1.13 / defence 0.92, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it 1. FC Heidenheim 28% | Draw 24% | Borussia Mönchengladbach 48%, with Borussia Mönchengladbach to win its most likely call at 48%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 60% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (1. FC Heidenheim 59%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 61%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

1. FC Heidenheim's trading profile (44 games, 21 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 41% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Borussia Mönchengladbach's trading profile (44 games, 21 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Borussia Mönchengladbach arrived the stronger side — 1.23 PPG against 0.73. The form guide was vindicated by the result. 1. FC Heidenheim (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.81 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.95 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Borussia Mönchengladbach (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.52 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.71 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights