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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

14:30

Venue

Voith-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

34%

1. FC Heidenheim

2.91

24%

Draw

4.11

41%

Borussia Dortmund

2.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

1. FC Heidenheim xG

Total xG

2.98

1.57

Borussia Dortmund xG

34%
24%
41%
1. FC HeidenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund

2.91

34%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

2.42

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

21%

1. FC Heidenheim

4.80

24%

Borussia Dortmund

4.09

Win to Nil

7%

1. FC Heidenheim

13.97

10%

Borussia Dortmund

9.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 8.0 6.3 3.3 1.3 0.4
1 7.2 11.3 8.8 4.6 1.8 0.6
2 5.1 7.9 6.2 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 2.4 3.7 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.409
λ Away (xG) 1.568
Total xG 2.977
League avg home goals 1.817
League avg away goals 1.405
1. FC Heidenheim attack strength 0.684
1. FC Heidenheim defence strength 1.228
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 0.908
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 1.134
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53