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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant RB Leipzig run riot with a 0-6 hammering of FC Augsburg.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

RB Leipzig beat FC Augsburg 0-6 at WWK Arena, Regular Season - 8, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Augsburg 1.55 xG and RB Leipzig 1.41 xG, a combined 2.96. The scoreboard read 0-6 for 6 actual goals. FC Augsburg fell 1.5 short of their projected output. RB Leipzig outscored their 1.41 projection by 4.6. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Augsburg attack 1.04 / defence 1.18 against RB Leipzig attack 0.77 / defence 0.94, drawn from 41/41 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Augsburg 40% | Draw 25% | RB Leipzig 34%, with FC Augsburg to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual RB Leipzig win had been the model's second-ranked read at 34%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 6, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. Over 3.5 was 34% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 60% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Augsburg 58%, RB Leipzig 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Augsburg's trading profile (41 games, 20 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.

RB Leipzig's trading profile (41 games, 20 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 42% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, RB Leipzig arrived the stronger side — 1.63 PPG against 1.22. The form guide was vindicated by the result. FC Augsburg (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.20 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 6 against a 1.40 concession average — a leakier day than usual. RB Leipzig (home/away splits) scored 6 against a 1.00 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights