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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Holstein Kiel – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

14:30

Venue

BORUSSIA-PARK

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Mönchengladbach Win

63%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1.60

22%

Draw

4.59

16%

Holstein Kiel

6.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

7.9%

Home win

1 – 1

7.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.42

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

Total xG

3.62

1.20

Holstein Kiel xG

63%
22%
16%
Borussia MönchengladbachDrawHolstein Kiel

1.60

63%

Home win

4.59

22%

Draw

6.39

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.89

Clean Sheet

30%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

3.32

9%

Holstein Kiel

11.25

Win to Nil

19%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

5.30

1%

Holstein Kiel

71.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 3.2 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
1 6.5 7.8 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
2 7.9 9.4 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 6.3 7.6 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 3.8 4.6 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.9 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.420
λ Away (xG) 1.199
Total xG 3.619
League avg home goals 1.658
League avg away goals 1.481
Borussia Mönchengladbach attack strength 1.093
Borussia Mönchengladbach defence strength 0.933
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.868
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.335
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 13