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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 19 Sep 2026

14:30

Venue

Borussia-Park

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Mönchengladbach Win

44%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

2.26

25%

Draw

3.97

31%

FSV Mainz 05

3.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

Total xG

2.82

1.26

FSV Mainz 05 xG

44%
25%
31%
Borussia MönchengladbachDrawFSV Mainz 05

2.26

44%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

3.27

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

28%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

3.53

21%

FSV Mainz 05

4.78

Win to Nil

13%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

7.97

6%

FSV Mainz 05

15.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 7.5 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.2
1 9.3 11.7 7.4 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.3 9.1 5.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.8 4.8 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.564
λ Away (xG) 1.260
Total xG 2.824
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
Borussia Mönchengladbach attack strength 0.989
Borussia Mönchengladbach defence strength 0.853
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 1.006
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.868
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34